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Real earnings analyses from this week with valuation metrics and competitor comparison.
Broadcom (AVGO)
Q4 FY2025 • December 11, 2025
AI Infrastructure Momentum Accelerating
💰 Valuation Analysis
Key Numbers
Revenue: $18.02B (vs $15.95B expected) - BEAT
EPS: $1.95 (vs $1.87 expected) - BEAT
AI Revenue: $8.2B, up 74% YoY
The Story
Broadcom crushed earnings with explosive AI chip growth. Custom AI accelerators and networking gear for hyperscalers drove a massive beat. Stock up 3% after-hours.
⚔️ Competitor Comparison: NVIDIA (NVDA)
Competitive Analysis:
NVDA focuses on general-purpose GPUs while AVGO dominates custom AI chips and networking. NVDA has higher growth (94% vs 28%) but AVGO has better margins (67% vs 55%). Both benefit from AI infrastructure buildout but serve different use cases.
📈 Bull Case
- ✓AI infrastructure leader with less NVIDIA competition
- ✓67% EBITDA margins - printing cash
- ✓Q1 guidance shows momentum continuing
- ✓Trading at 35x forward PE vs NVDA at 48x - relative value
📉 Bear Case
- ✗Extreme customer concentration (few hyperscalers)
- ✗Premium valuation at 35x - above sector average of 28x
- ✗Risk of AI spending slowdown in 2026-2027
- ✗NVIDIA has higher growth rate (94% vs 28%)
Bottom Line
AI infrastructure buildout has years of runway. At 35x forward PE, AVGO is cheaper than NVDA (48x) with better margins. Buy on dips below $400.
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